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Region's new homebuilding hits lowest point since 1984

Posted to: Business News

New home construction and sales in Hampton Roads last year fell to their lowest point in more than two decades, according to a report released Wednesday by Residential Data Bank, a Suffolk-based housing market research firm.

Builders in the region were issued 3,380 new home permits in 2008, down 33 percent from 2007, according to the report. It also showed that the number of new home closings fell to 3,311 last year from 4,136 in 2007, a decline of 20 percent. Both figures are the lowest on record since Residential Data Bank began tracking new home construction in 1984.

The declines in new home activity were spread across South Hampton Roads with the steepest drops coming in Portsmouth and Suffolk, which both saw permits decline by more than 40 percent. The mildest decline was in Chesapeake, which saw a 17 percent decrease in permits issued. On the Peninsula, activity slowed the most in Newport News, which saw permits fall nearly 60 percent.

"The No. 1 reason the building permits were down in 2008 and will continue to be down in 2009 was the lack of funding from our banks," said J. Van Rose, president of the new homes division of Rose & Womble Realty Co. "As the economic meltdown has happened in this country, the first to respond were the lending institutions."

Rose said banks forced builders last year to sell off any available inventory before allowing new development projects to go forward.

"Which meant no one was running down and buying a building permit," he said, noting that "2009 will be a whole bunch of the same."

Across the country, building permits and housing starts hit record lows in December, the U.S. Commerce Department reported last week.

Average prices for new homes in Hampton Roads continued to decline throughout the year, according to the local report. The average price for all new homes was $361,720, down 6.7 percent from 2007. The decline became steeper as the year wore on. The average price during the last three months of 2008 was down nearly 16 percent from the same three-month period a year earlier.

Pete A. Kotarides, president of the Tidewater Builders Association and a partner with Kotarides Builders in Virginia Beach, said tighter loan standards also were a problem for home buyers, especially those in the middle and upper price ranges.

"There were some loan programs that were unsustainable, but even standard loan programs in '06 and '07 become harder to qualify for in '08," he said.

The report also showed less expensive new homes dominated the market. More than half of the single-family detached homes sold in Hampton Roads last year were less than $400,000.

"The lower the price, the higher the activity there is," said Helen Dragas, chief executive of Dragas Management Corp. "I think there's still a short supply of high quality, lower-priced homes."

Last year was the second-best sales year on record for Dragas' company, which specializes in less expensive homes. The company led the region in sales volume with 315 homes for a revenue of $74.8 million.

Chesapeake Homes and Dallas -based Centex Homes rounded out the top three builders in Hampton Roads last year. Both companies had local housing developments with homes selling for less than $400,000.

"I don't think it's going to look too much different in 2009," Dragas said. "I think people will gravitate to value."

The trend toward less expensive homes also is being reflected in this year's Homearama, the Tidewater Builders Association's annual showcase of new homes. The association announced last month that it will relocate the event from a high-end neighborhood in Virginia Beach to a less expensive area in northern Suffolk, where builders will be required to construct more affordable homes with tighter floor plans. Prices will be in the $400,000 range, a departure from last year's show, where homes started at $1.2 million.

Josh Brown, (757) 446-2318, josh.brown@pilotonline.com

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u folks have no idea-- yet...

Ethan-- (have been running across you, on CR & other blogs, for a long time now-- nice to meet you!-- from a fellow local bubble-watcher since 2004) To all: Sorry, but he was right, & remains right, & I know that pops many folks' bubbles here but it can't be helped now.

This area is in for a world of hurt.

It "lagged" by a year or so coming into the bubble, & it lagged last year on the downside too, but this year--2009-- is going to be brutal.
TPTB are concerned right now with avoiding global financial meltdown-- & they can't "fix" housing yet. Because to "fix" it means the Gov. will have to assume the bad loans, write down the principal, & put the debt on the taxpayers. Which will further infuriate the public, particularly people who do pay their mortgages. The Gov't is afraid, & doesn't have the cojones to tell the public yet.

Ethan and other know it all regulars (You know who you are)

This is in response to comments on the Realtor job loss article and your joe blow economic forcasts following this article. I am a successful local Realtor who is passionate about my profession and loves helping people. You guys are making economic predictions that are uneducated and critisizing an entire profession of people the majority of whom work hard every day to help their clients and feed their families. Here's the question. You obviously spend a great deal of time picking apart my profession on this forrum; what should you be doing with your time? Do you have a fimily, employer, or clients, that you are obligated to or are you just a lonely bitter retiree. Either way you are wasting your life on negativity and need to do a little self reflecting. This will be my last and only post. Just had to defend my profession. Now it's back to work and productivity.

Greed is NOT Good

The reason that building permits are down goes back to the fact that lenders, mortgage loan salespeople and investments banks got greedy and changed the nature of the mortgage loan industry. Once mortgage loans could be packaged as Triple A investment grade bonds and moved off the lenders books, our financial system was racing for the cliff. The bankers and loan officers only cared about making their bonuses and commissions and the taxpayers are stuck with paying the bill. This is what you get when you leave the Republicans in office. Reagan did the exact same thing and the result was the Savings and Loan scandal that McCain was on the hook for.These people should be locked up and ALL of their assets stripped from them. They make Dillinger look like a Sunday school teacher.

joannek23456 you are SOOO

joannek23456 you are SOOO right! Once prices revert to sanity (which is 2001 prices + 3% YoY appreciation to track inflation), the builders can build, Realtors(R) can sell (and internet sites too), and we can be on our merry way. Holding on to peak mania prices to save a few is not going to work. The sooner the people and gov't figure this out, the better. The banks and investors need to take their losses. Bad managers and CEOs need to be punished and rejected. The inventory needs to be liquidated (to the people, not those that got us in the mess at firesale prices). The sooner that happens, the better. Wishing for old times when people were overpaying with loans they cannot afford is not the solution. Primary residence is shelter, not a treasure chest to fund vacations, enlargements, and retirement. Value of housing shouldn't exceed earnable income from working productive jobs. BRB Win2k8 server install done booting.

Funny.....

I couldnt help but laugh when putting these three quotes together

"The average price for all new homes was $361,720....", "said tighter loan standards also were a problem for home buyers, especially those in the middle and upper price ranges.", and finally "...where builders will be required to construct more affordable homes with tighter floor plans. Prices will be in the $400,000 range."

What cloud are these builders living on exactly? There is nobody that I know that can afford a house of more then 250k, forget about 361, or the "affordable" 400k range. The majority of people who work here have been priced clean out of the area. You cant even go to NC or way out in Suffolk any more.

THANK YOU SD1955

Thank you SD1955 for pointing out exactly why we should ALL care about what's happening in the housing industry by pointing out that a lot of people suffer when homes don't sell. It's not just the builders, realtors and lenders (who everyone seems to hate right now) but everyone down to the people who clean new homes before they close. The ripple effect is staggering because when so much of the labor force is out of work, they can't buy cars, clothes, electronics and sometimes even food. So now we have a whole new set of people being laid off, like salespeople and waiters. Then all these laid off people are collecting unemployment (if they qualify) and food stamps. Bottom line is WE SHOULD ALL CARE ABOUT WHAT'S HAPPENING IN THE HOUSING INDUSTRY AND IT IS NEWS. Until the housing industry recovers, there will be no ecomonic recovery - PERIOD. You can all hate the builders if you want, but a lot of people make a living off them. And no, I'm not a builder.

dzit - those neighborhoods

dzit - those neighborhoods of "affordable housing" are garbage. The tiniest plot of land with a throw up structure, marketed to the common person as all they can afford. The total peak of what they could afford, a house of desperation. The people could rent a much better place. The builders wanted to put more properties on the space than Virginia Beach normally allows. What we've had was builders buying land, and packing the most profit possible on them, close together McMansions. But now they cann't sell because buyers can't get teaser loans with the idea of flipping them. Builders have been walking away from land options, so there should be much cheaper land available. If the builders built normal houses, say 1500sqft with real yards and marked them below what the used and existing inventory is priced at then they could steal the market. It's just a matter of letting go of the greed.

Okie BobM

BobM - Virginia Beach home prices up over 100% over a 4-5 year period (source HousingTracker.net/melissadata.com), but wages (adjusted for inflation) down since 2001 (source VAPilot). Today there is more evidence of rising unemployment, which only counts people receiving unemployment. Realtors and contractors that were 1099'ed not recorded in those statistics. Illegal labor to build homes not recorded in those statistics. Meanwhile, trillions of more debt are being added. Layoffs nationally this week are possibly over 100K high quality jobs. Sure the DoD will blow more money, but will it really be enough to save us? The fact is, without the teaser rate lending, most families in HR can't afford a $360K home. With a 10% DP that's $36,000. No one does that anymore, I know. 30 years on $324K (that's with that DP that most people prob can't come up with) and you're looking at $1800 a month before insurance, taxes, car bills, retirement savings (LOL), telcom bills. With 0 in the bank one medical issue is foreclosure. It's not sustainable. If salaries double (inflation), maybe.

Projections

If I am reading it correctly, it said housing starts, new construction permits, were 40% down but 6% decrease (price)across the board is not a rule of thumb on every properties, so that's pretty good. But to bring green builds, affordable on smaller lots I'm sure would be a boost for everyone that wants a home and learn an efficient way of living. An all green neighborhood, I'll buy that! Sustainable self supporting and earth friendly!

???

I had no idea that is how Va Bch decides what the property tax is. That is ludicrous to let the realtors & housing market decide property taxes!!! Of course it benefits the city so they do it. When I worked for a tax accessing office (not here) the property value (which is what you base the tax on) was calculated by the property itself not what bells & whistles were added, not by realtors or housing markets. It was calculated by living area.

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