Bounce in Hampton Roads home sales hints at market reaching bottom

Posted to: Business Real Estate News Realty News

First-time home buyers and investors waded into the housing market looking for deals in May, pushing sales of existing homes higher again in South Hampton Roads, according to a report released Monday.

Real Estate Information Network Inc. released data showing that 963 homes sold last month, up 14.5 percent from April but 3.6 percent below the number sold in May 2008.

The number of homes sold last month was down by its narrowest margin in more than year, offering a glimmer of hope that the local housing market might be reaching a bottom.

Sales volume year-to-date is down about 15 percent in South Hampton Roads, according to the Virginia Beach-based multiple listing service.

The service also reported the median sale price in May was $219,900, up 2.3 percent from $215,000 in April but down 2.3 percent from $225,000 a year earlier. The median is the point at which half the prices are higher and half are lower.

Spring and summer months are typically the strongest for home sales, and prices usually rise over their winter levels.

John Terlaje was among the first-time home buyers last month. The 47-year-old and his wife, Carol, had rented in Norfolk for five years.

"We kind of waited until our credit rating got up to the point so we could get the best interest rates," he said. "That all happened when the housing market started falling."

The couple spent four months looking before finding a three-bedroom Norfolk home listed by an owner who needed to sell quickly. The Terlajes purchased the home off Granby Street near Norfolk Naval Station for $205,000.

"We were looking for deals, something well within our budget of $250,000," Terlaje said. "And I think we found the perfect house for us."

First-time home buyers are a driving force in the local market, said Dorcas Helfant-Browning, CEO and managing partner of Coldwell Banker Professional, Realtors. "It's folks who thought they couldn't afford a home, but are taking advantage of the tax credit and interest rates," she said, referring to the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time home buyers.

Home sales at the lower end of the market typically result in homeowners moving up and spurring sales in the higher price ranges, she said. However, based on what she's seeing and hearing from her agents, many of the homes sold in recent months have been vacant, either because of foreclosure or owners who moved but couldn't sell immediately, Helfant-Browning said.

If true across the market, that would result in fewer homeowners trading up to homes priced between $215,000 and $510,000. Homes in that price range make up the largest segment of standing inventory in Hampton Roads, with about 8,500 listings.

Investors have also returned to the market, hoping to turned foreclosed or distressed properties into rentals, Helfant-Browning said. Homes that had been foreclosed on accounted for about 19 percent of the sales last month, according the multiple listing service.

Virginia Beach was easily the strongest market in South Hampton Roads last month, with 430 sales in May compared with 433 sales a year earlier.

James Koch, an economist at Old Dominion University, called sales figures from last month a positive sign.

"We need to see this for a couple more months to call it the bottom," he said. "My sense is we still have a ways to go. I would expect to have lower sales this year until the jobs figures turn around."

Homes throughout the region are still overpriced, Koch added, "not by a huge amount, but somewhere around 5 percent-plus."

The report showed that the number of homes on the market last month in Hampton Roads rose less than 1 percent, to 14,401 from 14,326 in April.

The inventory of homes tends to swell during the spring and summer as more buyers shop for homes. It's the highest number of homes on the market since October.

The average time on the market for existing homes in all of Hampton Roads was 89 days in May, compared with 78 days at the same point last year.

Both of those figures include the Peninsula and outlying regions such as Williamsburg and northeastern North Carolina.

Josh Brown, (757) 446-2318, josh.brown@pilotonline.com

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Not related at all

When is VPLS going to write an article on L. Yap’s recent comment pertaining to appraisaers’ tanking real estate transactions?

still unrealistic

I went house hunting this past week. I'm restricted to a few areas due to private school bus service limitations for my teenager. As I went through neighborhood after neighborhood, I discovered that most of the homes for sell were either in horrible condition or simply 'ugly'. The few homes I found attractive were more house than I needed or wanted to finance. The biggest distraction was the asking prices. I found that most were still only a few thousand off the 2005 tax assessments. According to tax records many had sold for approximately half the now asking price. The tax assessments had not dropped off the inflated rates of 2005 either. It is a sad reality that the cities have NO intention of dropping the assessments to the proper value. They simply do not want to give up those tax dollars they built their recent budgets upon. As such, the owners still feel they are deserving of a $100,000 to $200,000 profit for owning a house they let go to heck. This was only in Portsmouth. I guess I'll be looking in Chesapeake or Suffolk next.

Home Values

Wow, what great news, why is my home now worth $97,000 less than what I paid for it two and half years ago????? Lets get real! I would rather have the real deal news than this pie in the sky stuff. The homes that are being sold are foreclosures and distressed sales.

1 in 600

Only 1 in 600 homes in our area are in foreclosure. Things are better here than elsewhere.

But I've heard of 5 people

But I've heard of 5 people that haven't made a mortgage payment in a year, but the lenders aren't going to foreclosure. That's not healthy.

Optimism for the sake of optimism?

Optimism for the sake of optimism? I prefer realism. Most sub-prime mortgages have already reset, but many other mortgages are scheduled to reset over the next 24 months; ask any banker. Assessments are at historic highs and will not be sufficiently correcting as expense-laden cities struggle to balance their books without cutting politically-driven entitlements. Furthermore, too many Americans are simply carrying too much debt. Add high unemployment, tax increases, and increasing business bankruptcies. Truth is, the federal government isn't helping. They can't hire everyone. And think of what massive tax cuts could do for our country right about now!

You know I'm nastrodamus.

The sub-prime loans reset, but remember with the mania people with good credit jumped in to speculate. The talk at the watercooler was who made how much easy money turning around houses, or who's house doubled in value. Many people with Prime and Alt-A loans participated, and many of those loans are slated to reset around 2011. Credit Suisse put out a reset chart, of course many of the loans are being reworked or not reported so the numbers are inaccurate. As Public Enemy said, "Don't believe the hyped." The National Association of Realtors spent over $40 million on a marketing campaign to try to trick Americans into re-igniting the buying frenzy of days past. It obviously didn't work, but everyone is hoping that Obama returns us to the horrible days of easy money from housing. It ain't going to happen without reckless lending from the banks to the consumers (not the gov't to the banks). It's just houses. Let the values drop 50%, let's just get it over with, and do something actually productive instead.

Don't over-analyze

This time of year housing sales always increase due to the military personnel in the region that transfer during this period. This will continue through September and then drop rapidly again.

Why all the negative comments?

1. Flipping is very difficult to do right now. Lenders are requiring 30%+ down plus sterling credit.
2. Could it be the market is slowly starting to turn around?
3. Please look at the glass half full instead of half empty.
4. Part of the problem has been the news media being negative. The VP was trying to positive on this story and the naysayers tried to make it a negative.
5. Not every person wants to or can afford to buy a home. OR wants the hassle of upkeep and maintenance. Or might be transferred with their job in a few years. Why so negative about renters? Truthfully, it makes more economic sense to be a renter right now than it does to be a homeowner who bought 3-4 years ago.

1. I'm hearing people are

1. I'm hearing people are still able to get 3% down loans, and others are being offered $200K lines of credit. It's not over.
2. Some people are jumping in.
4. The news media hyped the housing market non-stop for years, they aren't even doing it true justice with regards to the downturn. They couldn't predict or even report the peak, why would you expect them to be able to identify the bottom? Dead cat bounces, etc. You can't identify the bottom until years after.
5. I rent and save lots of money for it. I'd rather own, but at this point it makes more sense to be able to escape 757 for better jobs, and it's obvious the housing market is overheated. Plus you end up competing with Navy housing allowances here.

Look at the charts. There is no where for housing to go but massively downwards. There is still lots of pain. 2011 and 2012 bring LOTS of Prime loan and Alt-A pain.

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