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Week 7 | The Pilot's NFL picks

Posted to: National Sports Redskins Sports

GAME OF THE WEEK

San Diego (4-1) at New York Jets (3-3), 1 p.m.

The line  San Diego by 2

Outlook  The key will be how San Diego’s sixth-ranked passing offense (293.4 ypg) fares against the No. 5 pass defense (200.8). The Chargers would seem to have an edge, since they can keep the Jets off-balance with the No. 9 rushing attack (122.8).

Quick hit   New York has the No. 31 rushing attack (80.8) and the No. 23 passing attack (216.3) so don’t expect the Jets to win if the game is a shootout.

Match-up  New York, which hasn’t scored more than 24 points since Week 2, needs to break through against a team that hasn’t allowed more than 24 points all season.

The pick  It’s always tough for West Coast teams to play early games on the East Coast. Jets 20, Chargers 17.

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Houston (3-3) at Tennessee (3-2), 1 p.m.

The line  Tennessee by 3

Outlook  Houston’s lost 3 of 4, allowing at least 25 points in each of the losses, and WR Andre Johnson is still hurt. Tennessee has won 3 of 4 and has allowed more than 16 points once all season..

The pick  Houston has failed to surpass 20 points in the two games Johnson has missed so far. Titans 23, Texans 17.

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Washington (3-2) at Carolina (1-5), 1 p.m., WVBT

The line   Carolina by 2½

Outlook  Washington is turning to QB John Beck to fix an offense that hasn’t surpassed 22 points since Week 1. Carolina has allowed at least 28 points in 5 of 6 games but has the No. 11 pass defense.

The pick  A rash of injuries to key offensive players including TE Chris Cooley hurt Washington. Panthers 23, Redskins 17.

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Seattle (2-3) at Cleveland (2-3), 1 p.m.

The line  Cleveland by 3

Outlook  Seattle, coming off a bye, probably will use Charlie Whitehurst at QB with Tarvaris Jackson injured. Cleveland has surpassed 17 points once, and RB Peyton Hillis (hamstring) is in doubt.

The pick  Seattle is 3-11 in its past 14 road games, even including a Week 5 win over the Giants. Browns 23, Seahawks 17.

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Denver (1-4) at Miami (0-5), 1 p.m.

The line  Miami by 1

Outlook  Denver is turning to QB Tim Tebow to fix a passing offense that ranks 27th in the NFL (201.8). Tebow has a chance for success because Miami’s pass defense ranks 29th (284.0).

The pick  Four of Miami’s losses this season have been by double digits; Denver has one such loss. Broncos 23, Dolphins 20.

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Atlanta (3-3) at Detroit (5-1), 1 p.m.

The line  Detroit by 3½

Outlook  Atlanta has played three games in domes this season and is averaging 26.7 points in those games. Detroit is 25th in rushing (90.8) and will be without RB Jahvid Best (concussion).

The pick Lions QB Matthew Stafford goes for 300 yards vs. the 27th-ranked pass defense (283.3). Lions 26, Falcons 24.

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Chicago (3-3) vs. Tampa Bay (4-2) in London, 1 p.m.

The line  Chicago by 1

Outlook  Chicago is 3-1 on grass this season. Tampa Bay lost 48-3 at San Francisco on its last long road trip and has the No. 26 pass defense (276.0).

The pick  Chicago has the No. 25 pass defense, so don’t expect a lot of running in this contest. Bears 23, Buccaneers 17.

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Kansas City (2-3) at Oakland (4-2), 4:05 p.m.

The line  Oakland by 4½

Outlook  Kansas City has won two straight and hasn’t allowed more than 24 points in a game since Week 2. Oakland also has won two straight and has the No. 2 rushing attack (160.0).

The pick  If new Oakland QB Carson Palmer goes, he’ll be handing off a lot vs. the No. 21 run defense. Raiders 24, Chiefs 17.

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Pittsburgh (4-2) at Arizona (1-4), 4:05 p.m., WTKR

The line  Pittsburgh by 4

Outlook  Pittsburgh has won 4 of 5 and hasn’t allowed more than 20 points in a game since Week 1. Arizona hasn’t won since Week 1, and has allowed 65 total points its past two games.

The pick  Arizona won’t muster much offense against the No. 1 overall and pass defense.  Steelers 24, Cardinals 14.

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St. Louis (0-5) at Dallas (2-3), 4:15 p.m.

The line  Dallas by 13

Outlook  Rams QB Sam Bradford (ankle) will be a game-time decision for a team with the No. 25 overall offense. Dallas will be without RB Felix Jones (ankle) but has the No. 7 overall offense.

The pick  Every one of Dallas’ games this season has been decided by four points or less. Cowboys 24, Rams 20.

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Green Bay (6-0) at Minnesota (1-5), 4:15 p.m., WVBT

The line  Green Bay by 9

Outlook  Green Bay has won every game this season by at least seven points and has scored at least 24 in every game. Minnesota, which has scored more than 23 once, turns to QB Christian Ponder.

The pick  Green Bay, which is second in the league with 11 INTs, picks off Ponder three times. Packers 34, Vikings 14.

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Indianapolis (0-6) at New Orleans (4-2),  8:20 p.m., WAVY

The line  New Orleans by 13½

Outlook  Indianapolis hasn’t scored more than 24 points all season and is 31st in the NFL in total offense. New Orleans hasn’t scored less than 20 points all season and is second in total offense.

The pick  New Orleans is averaging 35 ppg at home; Indianapolis 13.7 ppg on the road. Saints 35, Colts 14.

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MONDAY

Baltimore (4-1) at Jacksonville (1-5), 8:30 p.m., ESPN

The line  Baltimore by 8

Outlook  Baltimore has won three straight, all by at least 15 points, and has the No. 3 overall defense. Jacksonville has lost five straight and hasn’t scored more than 20 points all season.

The pick  Jaguars RB Maurice Jones-Drew can’t crack 80 yards vs. the No. 3 rush defense (76.6). Ravens 34, Jaguars 14.

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Last week’s picks

Straight up 12-1 (65-25 for the season).

Against the spread 8-5 (42-43-5 for the season).

Upset special 1-0 straight up (4-2 for the season).

 

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